During the Vertical Jump, an athlete must stand on a pad with some sort of compatible height measurer attached. Like with Freiermuth, Im not going to penalize him, but he did drop in my rankings due to projected draft capital. Both are elite times at his size (61, 232 pounds). Kyle Pitts. Running backs and wide receivers are held to a different standard as times of 4.50 or below are considered fast for RBs and WRs. The distance in inches is then turned into SPARQ Points to be added to the final score. VOS also incorporates a bust rate coefficient to throttleeach player'sVOS according to the fragility and subsequentuncertainty of forecasting the annual fantasy point output of players at his position. Since 1995, the only sub-180-pound RB to hit triple-digit fantasy points in a single season is Dexter McCluster, who accomplished this feat only once. For wide receivers and tight ends, Air Yards are total target distance from the line of scrimmage to the catch point, and Completed Air Yards represents total receiving yards minus yards after the catch. Metcalf. SPARQ Rating System - Topend Sports Atwell ranked 8th in my Pre-Combine model, but I was certain hed fall during this phase of the process. Imatorbhebhes 24 bench reps rank 7th-most. College Dominator Rating first outlined by Frank DuPont in the book Game Plan, the college dominator rating represents a players market share or his percentage of his teams offensive production. turn into something. Overall, the safety class lacks a true blue-chip prospect, but there were a few athletic freaks to round out the Day 2 options Specifically, Kyle Dugger (99th percentile), Jeremy Chinn (98th), and Tanner Muse (91st) were borderline rare athletes for their size. The position requires in-depth knowledge and instincts, which isnt measured publicly in Indy. Total Best Ball Points Added aggregates a player's total points scored above this quantified weekly threshold over the course of the season. The SPARQ Football Rating is derived from a formula that combines results from standard measurements of the NFL football combine. There is also the SPARQ Pro Rating consisting of more specific tests, designed to take a more comprehensive look into the sources of football-specific athleticism. On 2008, SPARQ updated their protocols for Football. on the spreadsheets. RASRelative Athletic Scores grade a player's This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile w. 1 WR and/or a high caliber contributor. Target Separation -A receiver's average yards of separation from his assigned defender at the moment the pass arrives. Zach Wilson averaged 38.4 (2018), then 33.7 (2019), and then 29.4 (2020) rushing YPG in each of his three seasons at BYU. From an athletic-standpoint, only Vernon Davis ranks higher by SPORQ (of 375 qualifiers since 2000). Scores under 20 indicate that a player may be challenged to process information on-the-fly. Green Flags (Is that the opposite of a red flag?). Youre not fading that. And then theres another big tier drop, where everyone after that 2nd tier is even more uninspiring and unexciting. Report: Cowboys set to meet with 2016 NFL Draft prospect, SPARQ star S Justin Simmons. Looks explosive. Juke Rate isolates a running backs elusiveness and tackle-breaking power by charting the number of broken, missed, and otherwise avoided tackles (displayed to the immediate left), and then dividing by the total number of touches (carries + receptions). He isnt quite as unathletic as the other two, and he has better expected draft capital (RB7, Round 4) than either RB. Well built and very athletic. It consists of 50 multiple choice questions to be answered in 12 minutes. SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success here. By raw 40-yard-dash, he ranks behind only Griffin (4.33), Michael Vick (4.33), and Reggie McNeal (4.40). WebThe SPARQ is a rating system designed to measure sport-specific athleticism. but you'll have to sign up in order to access our other articles and content! He led Illinois in receiving in both 2019 and 2020, recording yardage share numbers of (adjusting for missed games) 32.5% (2019) and 26.9% (2020). Less than 20% is a red flag. Although my Pre-Combine model liked Hawkins and Jefferson quite a bit, both fell in this phase of the process. Definitely deserves a closer look. 40-yard Dash for quarterbacks and tight ends, any 40-yard dash under 4.70 seconds is considered fast. Jaret Patterson (ADP: RB11) posted a 11.1 SPORQ score. In todays article well be breaking down the 2021 class by SPORQ score. If his frame can handle the weight and build on his strength, he might, turn into something. Note 1: Big shoutout to the great Dane Brugler and his 2021 NFL Draft Guide, which you can find here. Rondale Moore was heavily penalized due to his short stature (57), but helped make up some ground with some absurd numbers in the 40, Vert, 3-Cone, and Shuttle. Stuffed Runs run plays netting zero or negative yardage. For those who didn't notice, you can scroll to the right Stevenson, who I liked even more than my model did, also fell, but not as far. For one thing, hes exceedingly young the youngest WR in this class (age: 20.6). Since 2000, only one TE has ever recorded a faster time at the NFL Combine (Vernon Davis, 4.38). This total Lifetime Value is also discounted based on the age-based production curve outlined in the Dynasty Dominator Guide enhancing the value the most precocious players such as Saquon Barkley and JuJu Smith-Schuster. That said, I dont think we should be trusting these numbers. I could have penalized him for this fact but chose not to weight actually has a slightly negative correlation to fantasy production for TEs. All rights are reserved Powered by WordPress. And then theres a big tier fall-off the Little 3 should all be selected within the mid-Round 2 to early-Round 3 range. Players with one or the other (with production mattering more than athleticism) were somewhere in between. Jackson (24.2 BMI) is also the only WR to post a BMI below 24.5 and record a 1,000-yard season. Deep Balls charts the total number of passing attempts that travel 20 yards or farther in the air. to back it up - even against top competition. Slot Rate - the percentage of passing down snaps a wide receiver or tight end lines up in the slot. Neither DeVonta Smith nor Jaylen Waddle participated in their workouts at the Alabama Pro Day. Albert O was the only tight end to finish above the 75th percentile level Hunter Bryant, Harrison Bryant, and Jared Pinkney watched their stocks drop with sub-20th percentile athleticism. All four WRs are expected to be off the board by the end of Round 3. Top 12 SPARQ-iest athletes in the 2016 NFL Draft, Cowboys Stuck behind David Montgomery and then Breece Hall at Iowa State, Nwangwu didnt see very many touches (career-high 64 touches in 2020), but was efficient on those touches (5.2 career YPC). Jalen Camp (97.8), Simi Fehoko (93.6), Racey McMath (92.2), Michael Strachan (91.3), and Josh Imatorbhebhe (91.1) all posted elite SPARQ scores. I liked the way Cominsky moved. Ben Masons 29 bench press reps ranks 9th-most since 2000. To view the average RAS for every team by draft year, click here! Negative values indicates teams are more often playing from behind. However, a bulk of his production came on the ground. And he also has projected draft capital working in his favor (WR7, Round 2). For example, a 35+% dominator indicates that a wide receiver has the potential to be a teams No. Terms of Use https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/, The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com, https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/. How to read this: Danny Pinter is a 94th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete.. The results from these tests are combined and weighted using a formula specific to football. For RBs, we add a BMI premium. Harris is pretty old as a prospect (Age: 24.0), and his production score was fairly underwhelming and especially so within that context. Unlike running backs, weight and height are correlated to wide receiver and tight end production, because height expands the players catch radius. SPARQ's business were focused on the rating system and selling advanced functional fitness training equipment. The Cincinnati Bengals have finally answered at least one part of the question at the running back position by taking Illinois Chase Brown in the fifth round of the 2023 NFL draft. Funk probably doesnt get drafted, but Evans and (then) Nwangwu are expected to see their names called on Day 3. For example, it assigns a premium to a completed pass that earns a first down at the quarterback's own 20-yard-line with 30 seconds left in the game. Game Script - First defined by Chase Stuart on his Football Perspective blog in his "Introducing Game Scripts" piece, game scripts are the average point differential at any point in any game that season. Just note, I was primarily shooting for only the most favorable comparisons in each instance. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo You can find that stat and our historical Combine database here. Individuals with high BMIs tend to be built more like a bowling ball, an ideal stature for an NFL running back. Oregon went to the 3-4 in 2017/18 and he moved back to OLB. The metric is calculated by dividing total fantasy points by total targets. Hayden Winks. Simi Fehoko (115.3) and Jalen Camp (115.3) are two of only 46 WRs since 2000 to record a Speed Score of 115.0 or better. Production Premium compares the outcome of all pass attempts, carries, and targets to league-average outcomein those same game situations (yard line, down, and distance). How historic was Tristan Wirfs combine performance? Hayden Winks is an NFL and NFL Draft writer for NBC Sports Edge. Hand Size data presented by John Bales fromFantasy Labs showed a relationship between hand size and quarterback performance, particularly in cold weather conditions. I like Maxx Crosby as a mid- to late-round prospect. The aggregate Lifetime Value is calculated using recent NFL opportunity, productivity, and efficiency metrics for veteran players as well as prospect profile metrics such as draft capital, college production, and athleticism for young players and prospects. Hes jumped from WR9 in my rankings to WR7. The predictive power of air yards were first discussed by Josh Hermsmeyer in his introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com and his AirYards.com property. But I doubt hell have the value one might expect of an EMU kid falling. Value Over Stream (VOS) The VOS metric calculates eachplayers fantasy points per game above the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current or previousseason, depending on the time of year. And Smiths BMI is the 9th-lowest by any Combine WR since at least 2000, while Jackson ranks 40th-lowest. For calculation purposes, power ball throw wasconverted into bench press to ensure that all input factors aligned with specificNFL Scouting Combine events. Fantasy Points Per Target measures wide receiver and tight end fantasy points in the context of the players opportunities. Due to a minor ankle injury, Najee Harris didnt workout at his Pro Day, and as such recorded a SPORQ score of DNQ (Did Not Qualify). The pool of players included in the percentile ranks consists of those currently signed to active and futures contracts. He reportedly ran a 4.37 40-yard dash at the UA Houston Camp in 2017. Pace of Play - Total plays per minute. But also that my new stat SPORQ score is the best tool you could use to measure athleticism. Mitchell's 40 time, coupled with his performances in the vertical jump, the agility shuttle and the kneeling power ball toss, earned him a score of 154.47, which earned The Yo-Yo Intermittent Recovery Test is a test measuring an athlete's aerobic power and execution upon the changing of direction. Pat Freiermuth elected not to participate in the position drills at his Pro Day, as hes still recovering from a shoulder injury. That would give Harris a 96th-percentile Speed Score at the position, and maybe the best ever short shuttle in Combine history at any position if he did in fact run a 3.70 shuttle a truly unfathomable mark, let alone for a player his size. to the Steelers roster, I thought some might enjoy digging Frank Darby (ADP: WR26) posted a 29.6 SPORQ score. Safety. For instance, last season, he ranked top-7 in both missed tackles forced per touch (0.30) and yards after contact per attempt (4.04). Overall, this offensive tackle class is awesome, especially at the top All of the first round prospects finished as above-average athletes, including Mekhi Becton (100th percentile) and Tristan Wirfs (97th) who were breathtakingly fast for their size. Overall, the top prospects (Derrick Brown, Javon Kinlaw) didnt help their draft stocks, but there were a handful of risers with explosive times at the Combine Khalil Davis (100th percentile) and Carlos Davis (100th) were elite movers in the weight-adjusted forty, although they didnt participate in the agility drills. Malcolm Roach, Leki Fotu, McTelvin Agim, and Justin Madubuike all finished with 84th percentile scores Neville Gallimore had an elite weight-adjusted forty but tanked the agility drills, finishing as a nice 69th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete Derrick Brown had a rough day, checking in the 45th percentile. Good call here. Where did these players rank in Phase I of my model (something akin to a composite production and efficiency score)? I now have him quite a bit higher than his ADP. This results in a measure of a players speed that also incorporates a premium on both body weight and body length. Demetric Felton (ADP: RB15) posted a 1.3 SPORQ score. It makes him an obvious fit for this team and possible replacement for Dupree next year. Best Some Results. The SPARQ Magazine (Summer of 2008) also noted that the highest Basketball SPARQ rating score recorded for hoops was 89.70 by Brandan Wright, a 6' 9" forward who plays for the Golden State Warriors. Also notable was the score of 86.80 recorded by NCAA All-American Derrick Rose. What do you guys think about Brian Burns? Since 2000, only two WRs have recorded a better time at the NFL Combine: Donte Stallworth and John Ross, both at 4.22. Saddled with poor QB-play, Collins didnt do much in three seasons at Michigan, before sitting out in 2020, totaling just 78 catches, 1,388 yards, and 13 scores over this span. You can view more current content marked with a FREE banner, QBR adds a clutch factor to more traditional quarterback efficiency metrics. Lance Zierlein actually has him ranked as the 2nd-best TE in the class. This probably means hes not close to the prospect Montgomery was or that Hall is, but few are, Evans, a former 4-star prospect, started in only six of 42 career games, and will be 24 years old as a rookie in 2021. Well built and very athletic. SPARQ developed a training network made up of over 750 SPARQ Certified Trainers located throughout the country who are both independent coaches and trainers at chain performance centers. Fellow Auburn WR Seth Williams SPORQ score was solid (69.5), but he jumped in my rankings primarily due to a miscalculation in Phase I of my model. The depth of the box is six yards from the line of scrimmage. Some famous athletes who recorded SPARQ Ratings are: The SPARQ general athletic assessment test was composed of: The 40-yard dash was the simplest activity; an athlete runs 40 yards down a track, and his/her time is recorded by a trainer or other method. Jaelon Darden (ADP: WR19) posted a 18.3 SPORQ score. When a given players supporting cast changes (via trade or free agency), this metric is particularly helpful, because it measures that players capabilities across league-average situations. This metric helps to identify wide receivers and tight ends with limited route trees that may have a low snap count and target share, but when they are on the field, are a focal point of the passing offense. Hell join a team in 2021, but its unlikely he ever contributes beyond special teams, Strachan is the biggest WR in this class at 65 and 226 lbs but also one of the oldest (23.7). SPARQ Scores : r/NFL_Draft - Reddit Hes old for a prospect (23.4), but his athleticism is undeniable. and this is a very comprehensive list. Since 2000, the only WR to weigh 175 pounds or less and post a 1,000-yard season is DeSean Jackson (169 pounds). 2020 Adjusted SPARQ Scores (Defense) | NFL Draft Preview Tutu Atwell (ADP: WR16) posted a 38.3 SPORQ score, dropping from 69.6 after being heavily penalized due to an anomalously low weight (155 pounds) and low BMI (22.9). This number measures a players short area quickness and balance and correlates with an ability to avoid tackles and compile yards before contact. Boyd, Felton, and Williams are now fully off my board. Football SPARQ Testing - Topend Sports Breakout Age the younger a person is when he/she first becomes a leader in their respective field, the more likely that person is to go on to become *phenom*enal at their craft. Justin Fields averaged 10.2 rushing FPG and 64.6 rushing YPG in 2020, after averaging 9.2 and 49.1 in 2019. He ranks behind Robert Griffin III (126.9) and Michael Vick (119.5), and just ahead of Cam Newton (114.72) and Vince Young (113.7). Going to look into him a bit more, but he played against weak competition. The best of the best, the most elite athletes, will score between 130 Rondale Moores 42.5 ranks 11th-best. For QBs, PlayerProfiler adds a height premium. SPARQ-x -An approximation of Nikes SPARQ Rating (acronym it stands for: Speed,Power, Agility, Reaction and Quickness), a project started in 2004 to create astandardized test for athleticism similar to an SAT test for athletes. Scott Barrett combines a unique background in philosophy and investing alongside a lifelong love of football and spreadsheets to serve as FantasyPoints Director of Analytics and Lead DFS Writer. True Yards Per Carry popularized by Zach Krueger in a piece written for PlayerProfiler, True YPC discounts all runs greater than 10 yards. Snap Share The percentage of total offensive plays that the player was on the field for his team. To assist with site load times, the main page will now only show the 2023 class. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile would represent a player who rates as a league-average NFL athlete at the position. Terrace Marshall (ADP: WR6) was another big winner. He averaged 5.6 YPC across his career, but rarely ever touched the ball (only 25 times in 2020), In his fifth season at Maryland, after two ACL tears, Funk averaged 118.8 YFS per game on 14.0 touches per game in 2021. Really intrigued by him. He ranks 17th-best in burst score (162.5), five spots ahead of Briley Moore (160.5). Finally, they must switch direction and run another 5yards to the starting point. My Pre-Combine model viewed JaMarr Chase as the best WR prospect since at least 2015. Athletes scoring in the 30-50 range are considered smart. Elijah Mitchell and Travis Etienne both posted a broad jump of 128, which ranks 22nd-best since 2000. Height-adjusted Speed Score (HaSS) first discussed by Shawn Siegele on his Money In The Banana Stand blog, it builds on Bill Barwells Speed Score concept to create a more relevant metric for wide receivers and tight ends. Although Zach Wilson is a near-lock to be drafted second overall (and maybe even Mac Jones third overall), I have Fields right behind Lawrence as the QB2 in this class. Smith still ranks quite high by projected draft capital (WR3, Round 1), so the NFL doesnt seem to be as concerned with Smiths athleticism as they (presumably) were with Tyler Johnsons. Expected Points Added (EPA) measures the value of individual plays by calculating the expected points scored based on the down, distance, and field position situation at the start of a play and contrasting it with the situation at the end of the play. For perspective, in their best collegiate seasons, Lamar Jackson averaged 24.2 rushing FPG, Taysom Hill averaged 19.8, Jalen Hurts averaged 18.7, Kyler Murray averaged 12.8, Josh Allen averaged 8.1, and Joe Burrow averaged 7.6. He's one of the rare outside WRs in this class, with 98% of his career receiving yards coming out wide. 2022 NFL Draft Positional Rankings, Per Analytics (Offense) The implication here is that Smith was worried a lackluster showing might have hurt his draft stock, which is to say a lackluster showing was somewhere between possible and probable. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo. Athleticism Score summarizes a players workout metrics and normalizes for size. Hes going to be drafted on Day 3; a team will take a flier on him for his athleticism, but hes a longshot to ever return meaningful fantasy production. He played off the ball very well in the Shrine Game, and it was good to see that versatility, considering the Steelers go to it. Because Nikes actual SPARQ formula is not public, we compared publicallyavailable SPARQ scores to their related input factors, reverse-engineered anapproximation of the SPARQ formula, and then applied the formula to eachplayers workout metrics. Production Premium also takes into account time remaining and game score to account for non-standard situations such as 2-minute drills, clock-milking, and garbage time. Expected Touchdown Differential the difference between expected and actual touchdowns scored. DISCLAIMER: This site and the products offered are for entertainment purposes only, and there is no gambling offered on this site. A.J. I didnt think it was possible, but I like Pitts even more now than I did several weeks ago. Isaiah Simmons rightfully called it a day after running a 4.39 forty, which locked in a 99th percentile Adjusted SPARQ score. All of the size-related concerns with Smith are an even bigger issue for Tutu Atwell (59, 155 pounds, 22.9 BMI). Hes got some special pass-rushing traits. I didnt think the tape was good, and the athleticism was really bad Albert Okwuegbunam crushed the weight-adjusted forty, and then called it a day (probably because he has below-average agility). National training companies include CATZ (the Competitive Athlete Training Zone) and Velocity Sports Performance. The formula is (weight*200) / (40-time^4). His incredible flexion might just be the thing that sets him apart. At 210 pounds, Kene Nwangwus 121.71 Speed Score ranks best in this class and 15th-best since 2000, just ahead of Jonathan Taylor (121.70). Jermar Jefferson (ADP: RB6), my Pre-Combine RB6, posted a 32.2 SPORQ score. Hes a freak. Henderson is the No. Jake Funks 6.71 3-Cone ranks 13th-best since 2000, and, if weight-adjusted, 15th-best since 2000. He, alongside a few other of the industrys best talent evaluators and NFL Draft prognosticators, played a key role in helping me calculate an important but ultimately minor variable in this phase of the process expected draft capital. Weighted Opportunities surfaced by Scott Barrett in his work for Pro Football Focus, this metric calibrates total opportunities by discounting carries and enhancing the value of targets based on the average fantasy points generated by each type of touch. How to read this: Isaiah Simmons is a 99th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Blaine Gabbert crushed the Wonderlic with a score of 42, so he has that going for him. SPARQ-x - An approximation of Nikes SPARQ Rating (acronym it stands for: Speed, Power, Agility, Reaction and Quickness), a project started in 2004 to create a standardized test for athleticism similar to an SAT test for athletes. Overall, this corner class is fine, but also includes a potentially rare top-five prospect Jeffrey Okudahs tape was phenomenal in my opinion -- go watch him against Clemson -- and he backed it up with 96th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athleticism. to back it up - even against top competition. Here are the results of the 2020 NFL Draft Class: How to read this: Khalil Davis is a 100th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Jacob Harris ranks 7th-best in SPORQ score since 2000 (98.1), behind only Vernon Davis, Kyle Pitts, Rob Housler, Jimmy Graham, Noah Fant, and Evan Engram. Basically, Harris is a rich mans Jeff Janis. JaMarr Chases 4.34 ranks 37th-best since 2000 (96th percentile). Elijah Mitchell skyrocketed up my ranking with an elite SPORQ score (94.9). This youth factor is then balanced by a premium on projected near-term production (i.e. Larry Rountree (ADP: RB17) posted a 7.6 SPORQ score. We've seen how important having that bend around the corner can be, and to get him working on his body - if relations weren't so strained Burns feels like the wild card for our first rounder. That said, its also far from irrelevant. Chases 173.0 ranks 20th-best. Unlike with Harris and Waddle, this was not because of a pre-existing injury, this was by choice. Overall, this is a top heavy linebacker class, but there are some athletic sleepers to be had on Days 2 and 3 Isaiah Simmons rightfully called it a day after running a 4.39 forty, which locked in a 99th percentile Adjusted SPARQ score. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. He averaged 7.9 rushing FPG in 2020 after averaging 5.3 rushing FPG across his first two seasons. That completion may be unlikely to lead to any points for his team, but if the quarterbacks team is leading, it increases the win probability enabling the leading team to run out the clock. It is derived by aggregating each players 40-yard Dash, Burst Score, and Agility Score, and then factors in a relevant measure of player size to ensure that big players receive a premium for speed, quickness and explosiveness. Hopefully he can improve at his Pro Day, or its impossible to give him a top-10 overall grade. Some of the more well-known independent facilities include TopSpeed Strength & Conditioning in Kansas City, the Michael Johnson Performance Center in Dallas and Athletic Evolution in Massachusetts. I severely penalized him for that fact and that appeared to be the right move my Pre-Combine model said he was deserving of a Round 1 or Round 2 pick, but he was ultimately drafted in Round 5. If his frame can handle the weight and build on his strength, he might Among TEs, Harris also ranks 2nd-best since 2000 in the broad jump and 6th-best in the vert. Target Share measures the percentage of all passing targets directed at a particular wide receiver or tight end in games that that receiver was involved in the passing attack. And in neither instance were those career-high marks. Theres the Big 3, consisting of Harris, Etienne, and Williams. For wide receivers and tight ends, the dominator rating is the percentage of team receiving production. Wex might be right. Zierlein's biggest knock on him is his skinny build. Dillon is a 97th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete., Overall, this is a decent running back class in terms of depth J.K. Dobbins opted to not participate, but the other top prospects did (Jonathan Taylor, Cam Akers, DAndre Swift, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire) and they all finished as above-average Adjusted SPARQ athletes A.J.
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