There will be two elections in Nebraska, due to the resignation of Ben Sasse. Still, Democrats best 2024 pick-up opportunities are probably Texas and Florida not exactly fertile ground. So how do they differ? Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 33 regular elections on November 5, 2024, will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2025. Wicker is running for a third full term. [77] and solar panel manufacturer Jim Lamon[78] are considering running for the Republican nomination. The consensus map is based on the ratings from Cook Political Report,Split Ticketand Sabato's Crystal Ball. . Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. .split-cols-c-list { Now they just need a Senate candidate", "Feinstein says she won't step down early from Senate", "Rep. Katie Porter's most viral moments in Congress", "Adam Schiff's Chances of Winning Feinstein's Senate Seat in 2024 Run", "Trump impeachment star Adam Schiff announces U.S. Senate run", "Barbara Lee tells lawmakers she's running for Senate", "Democratic Rep. Barbara Lee files bid for open Senate seat in California", "Exclusive: Sen. Dianne Feinstein won't announce her plans for 2024 until 2024", "California Dems prepare for fierce Senate battle", "These Democrats hoping to replace Feinstein largely agree on policy. 1. [48], Two-term Democrat Martin Heinrich was re-elected in 2018 with 54.1% of the vote. Independent ratings for AZ, ME, and VT only, Place the map on your website with this code. Gallego: 43%. California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election. - The Boston Globe", "Rep. Elissa Slotkin entering race to succeed retiring Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow | CNN Politics", "The Good Doctor actor Hill Harper weighs run for U.S. Senate in Michigan", https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/30/politics/senate-race-rankings-may-elections/index.html, "Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024", "GOP Rep. John James won't seek Michigan's open Senate seat", "Mississippi Republican State Rep. Dan Eubanks files FEC paperwork to primary incumbent #MSSen Roger Wicker", "Columbia activist talks about her bid for U.S. Senate", "Sen. Jon Tester to seek re-election in 2024", "Tester will seek reelection, bolstering Dems in 2024", "Senate Republicans close to landing top recruit in Montana", "Senator Ben Sasse (R-Nebraska) officially resigned at 12:00 Noon today. Im definitely running, said Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), who ousted a GOP incumbent in 2018. [69] Sinema has received a cross-party endorsement from Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski. Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, which Trump won by 8 points, said he still plans to run for reelection in his red-tilting state, a big shot in the arm for Schumer and whoever chairs the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. His retirement is likely to create a highly competitive . She left the Democratic Party in December 2022. NOTE: At this early point in the cycle, Inside Elections is categorizing each Senate race as either 'Solid' or 'Battleground'. Republicans seeking a Senate majority in the 2024 election have one clear early advantage: an unusually favorable map. On March 27, 2023, Warren announced that she is running for re-election. During the Democratic primary of the race, Carper implied that he might not seek re-election in 2024, and, when asked about it, said, "This may be the last time." [40] However, in February 2023, she finally confirmed that she would retire, ending a political career that spanned over 50 years. John Glen Weaver running for Nebraska's open Class II U.S. Senate seat", "Democrat Ruben Gallego launches run for Senate in Arizona as Sinema stays silent", "Sheriff Mark Lamb says he's running for US Senate in Arizona", "2024 Elections: Arizonans already declaring candidacies for House and Senate; here's what you should know", "GOP attorney Eric Early announces Senate campaign", "Long Beach RWF to welcome future Senate candidate Denice Gary Pandol to June 11 breakfast meeting", "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Is Running for Senate in California", "Peter Yuan Liu FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Barack Obama Mandela FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Progressive Rep. Katie Porter launches bid for Feinstein's California Senate seat | CNN Politics", "Anti-Trump stalwart Rep. Adam Schiff enters California Senate race", "Candidate Listing for 2024 General Election", "Rick Scott to run for reelection in '24", "GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign", "Brunswick Democrat is first to enter the 2024 U.S. Senate race in Maine", "Maine Independent Senator Angus King intends to seek third term in U.S. Senate in 2024", "2024 Presidential Primary Election State Candidates List", "Warren says she will run for reelection in 2024", "Campaigns Beginning for 2024 Michigan U.S. Senate Race", "Rep. Elissa Slotkin entering race to succeed retiring Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow", "State Board of Ed member Nikki Snyder launches U.S. Senate campaign", "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run", "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker", "Columbia activist announces bid for U.S. Senate", "Hawley says he's not interested in presidential run at this time", "Lucas Kunce announces candidacy for U.S. Senate", "Montana Sen. Jon Tester to seek reelection in major boost for Democrats", "Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024", "Watch Now: Chris Janicek Won't Quit Senate Race, Democrats Eye Write-In Candidate", "Rosen announces 2024 election plans with few Republican challengers so far", "Rosen announces 2024 Senate re-election campaign", "Menendez builds warchest for 2024 re-election campaign", "A Democratic mayor wants to run against Sen. Menendez. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. However, Politico pointed out that the 2016 election had an "early and prohibitive frontrunner" in Kamala Harris while the 2024 election has no clear frontrunner, and thus considered the 2024 election to be the first truly open California Senate race in 32 years. Then-President Trump won the state by a whopping 39. Whether the 80-year-old President Joe Biden is mostly unpopular among young voters, or equaling his best-ever. First published on Sun 30 Apr 2023 10.53 EDT. -moz-columns: 1; Table last updated: January 24, 2023 Incumbents not running for re-election The current 2024 Senate ratings from Elections Daily. [1] Two Democratic U.S. Jim Pillen will select his replacement", "The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024", "Democrats kept the Senate this year, but 2024 may be harder", "VICTOR JOECKS: A 2022 paradox: NV GOP disappoints and outperforms its peers", "7 Republicans who may run against Nevada Sen. Jacky Rosen", "New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand launches reelection bid", "Zeldin keeps run against Gillibrand for U.S. Senate on the table", "Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand tells donors Andrew Cuomo may run against her", "Kristin Hedger FEC Statement of Candidacy", https://bismarcktribune.com/news/election2010/potter-poised-to-enter-senate-race/article_71882ab0-111b-11df-9d5d-001cc4c002e0.html, https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-aligned-businessman-bernie-moreno-joins-gop-fight-for-ohios-2024-us-senate-race/ar-AA1a0wXD, https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3978937-senate-rankings-here-are-the-5-seats-most-likely-to-flip/, "LaRose cruises to GOP nomination for secretary of state", "Dave McCormick considering 2024 Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race; report", "GOP sets its sights on Bob Casey's Senate seat", "Where does Dr. Oz and his reputation go from here? All 33 Class 1 Senate seats and one Class 2 seat are up for election in 2024; Class 1 currently consists of 20 Democrats, 3 independents who caucus with the Senate Democrats, and 10 Republicans. Filed under 2024 Election. Incumbent: Democrat Sherrod Brown. [31] In December 2022, Feinstein confirmed that she would not resign before the end of her term. | West Virginia. [4] This is only the second open Senate race in California in the past thirty years,[a] and the first open race for the Class I seat since 1982. [38] Lee filed to run for Senate in early February 2023 and formally announced her campaign later that month. Depending on whether the Democrats win the presidency (and have a Democratic vice president who can break Senate ties), they can afford to lose zero to one Senate seats and maintain a majority.. I hope some of them do because I want to keep Catherine Cortez Masto and Gov. [26], Two-term Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected in 2018 with 58.5% of the vote. [45], Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned his seat on January 8, 2023, to become President of the University of Florida. Sen. Sherrod Brown is the only Democrat to win a nonjudicial statewide race in Ohio over the past decade, so the big question for 2024 is whether he can . "It . Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. 1. [26], Two-term Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. [42][114], Three-term Democrat Jon Tester was narrowly re-elected in 2018 with 50.3% of the vote. California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing candidates . Gillibrand is running for a third full term. A total of 468 seats in the U.S. Congress (33 Senate seats and all 435 House seats) are up for election on November 5, 2024. 2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast, Cook Political Report 2024 Senate Ratings, Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024. [118][5] Former governor and 2006 Senate nominee Pete Ricketts was appointed by Governor Jim Pillen and a special election for the seat will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections. In a July 2018 report, Ballotpedia defined wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in the last 100 years resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party. Representatives Matt Rosendale and Ryan Zinke have expressed interest in challenging Tester. It's rated a toss-up and is one of nine key Senate battlegrounds, according to The Cook . The Senate's top Republican thinks so", "Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson forms committee to explore run for Romney's Senate seat", "Top Trump ally gears up for Romney primary challenge", "Virginia Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine announces he's running for reelection in 2024 | CNN Politics", "Billionaire Peltz draws GOP megadonors to $5,000-a-plate fundraiser for Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin", "Manchin says he'll decide his 'political future' in December", "Manchin weighs another term as his influence peaks", https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/wis-businessman-decide-senate-run-labor-day-rcna80438, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_Senate_elections&oldid=1152677882, This page was last edited on 1 May 2023, at 16:59. Alex Wong/Getty Images, The real question is, is what do we wake up to on November 9, or 10th? Special elections during the preceding Congress. Think we're missing something? [2] Porter was first elected in 2018, unseating incumbent Republican Mimi Walters. So the options are wide open,. By default, all three are counted with the Democrats, as that best reflects the current situation. The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. Yes, Republican incumbent Brian Kemp trounced Stacey Abrams in a rematch of their. Incumbents up for election in these three states are independents.
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